Reads Listens Views 7/4/14


Sam Dorege at the USGS Bee Inventory and Monitoring Lab has a great display of photos of bees up close. Well worth a look. http://www.thisiscolossal.com/2013/12/bee-portraits-sam-droege/

Sam Dorege at the USGS Bee Inventory and Monitoring Lab has a great display of photos of bees up close. Well worth a look. http://www.thisiscolossal.com/2013/12/bee-portraits-sam-droege/

FantasyPros Accuracy Rankings, Matt will do fantasy rankings this year, Lester Young, George Adams, RSPWP3, and RSP Post-Draft 

Listens

What is Reads Listens Views?

If you’re new to the Rookie Scouting Portfolio blog, welcome.  I post links on Fridays to content I’m saving for later consumption or pieces that I found compelling. You may not like everything listed here, but you’re bound to like something.

Announcements

Have a question about football, fantasy football, or the draft? Later this summer, I will begin hosting a weekly, hour-long Q&A session on Twitter.

FantasyPros does an annual draft accuracy analysis that examines the preseason rankings of nearly 200 fantasy writers. Footballguys is well-represented at or near the top in a variety of categories:

  •  Jason Wood placed No.6 overall in 2013 with a 63.4 percent rating.
  • David Dodds overall ranking from 2010-2013 is No.3 overall at 63.8 percent.
    • Jeff Pasquino is No.7 (62.7 percent)
    • Bob Henry No.8 (62.4 percent)
    • Wood No.10 (62.2 percent)
    • Sigmund Bloom No.11 (62 percent)
    • Jeff Haseley is No.13 (60.6 percent)
  • Dodds and Bloom are also No.2 and No.10 overall for in-season accuracy of player rankings from 2010-2013 with a score of 61.1 percent.

Not bad for Footballguys. What about me? Well, I can say that I wasn’t vigilant about updating my rankings in late August in 2010 and my rankings suffered for it. Since then, I’ve been more conscientious about rankings. Here’s how I’ve fared since 2011:

  • My QB rankings from 2011-2013 are No.5 overall (67.4 percent)-and for the past two years I’m No.2 overall at 56 percent–despite a down year in 2013.
  • My WR rankings from 2011-2013 are No.9 overall (65.1 percent) and I’m No.3 overall in this category for the past two years with a 66.7 percent score.
  • My TE rankings are No.31 overall (55.9 percent) from 2011-2013. Not bad, but not as stellar.
  • My RB rankings are No.35 overall at (57.8 percent) from 2011-2013.

Sad to say, I’m not happy with these rankings. I’m motivated to be in the top 10 at every position and angry that my RB and TE rankings aren’t as high as I’d like them to be. Still, top 40 in every position I rank with top 10 in half of them over the past three years is pretty good.

What I find fascinating is that my rankings dovetail well with the strategy I’m most known for writing about: Upside Down Drafting. The crux of this strategy is to focus on QB, WR, and a top TE early and take middle-round RBs. At least you know that if you’re opting for this strategy, that the accuracy of my takes on this strategy has been strong (a couple of high stakes winners have endorsed it).

Speaking of rankings, more than a few of you have asked whether I’m going to have rankings at Footballguys this year. Rankings need to be posted by May at the site and because in addition to the RSP, RSP-Post Draft, and an 88-page magazine due in June at my day job, I was in the middle of a move to a new town. There was no way I could do my projections in May and meet the deadline–and I don’t like to commit to deadlines unless I can own that commitment.

Now that I’ve finished moving, I completed my first set of projections and I will post my rankings on the Footballguys ranking pages within the next few weeks and I will maintain them through the preseason. I’ll also be writing a couple of tiers articles in the near future. Part of the motivation to post rankings? I like to compete in this FantaysPros accuracy analysis.

Views

If there was a “Jazz Draft,” to build the best sextet, landing Herbie Hancock, Ron Carter, Tony Williams, Joe Henderson, Freddie Hubbard, and Bobby Hutcherson would require at least six picks in the first two rounds.

Speaking of fantasy drafts, whether it’s dynasty or re-draft, my readers swear by the RSP and it’s available for download. See below.

Download the 2014 Rookie Scouting Portfolio + Post-Draft Update!

Friday’s are also my chance to thank you for reading my work, encourage you to follow the RSP blog, and download the Rookie Scouting Portfolio publication.

The 2014 Rookie Scouting Portfolio Post-Draft Add-On is ready for download.  If you’re in a dynasty league, the combination of the 2014 RSP and the RSP Post-Draft will have you prepared for this year and beyond. Want details? Need details? I have ’em right here:

  • 84 pages
  • How to use the RSP and RSP-Post Draft together
  • Overrated/Underrated
  • Good/Bad post-draft fits
  • UDFAs to watch
  • Long-term dynasty waiver wire gems
  • Strategic overview of 2014 rookie drafts
  • Tiered Value Chart Cheat Sheet across all positions
  • Post-Draft rankings analysis and commentary–including notes about impending contracts years of competition on the depth charts
  • Average Draft Position (ADP) Data of 19 dynasty drafts
  • RSP Ranking-to-ADP Value Data
  • Raw Data Worksheets to continue calculating additional ADP data for future drafts

Hell, take a video tour of the 2013 post-draft to see what I mean:

Seriously, this analysis is worth the price of the 2014 RSP package alone, but you get this as a part of your purchase with the 2014 RSP. Remember 10 percent of each sale is donated to Darkness to Light to prevent sexual abuse in communities across the United States. While that alone should get you to download the RSP package, do it because you will be blown away with the detail and insight of the analysis and content. It’s why the RSP has grown so much in the past nine years.

Best yet, 10 percent of each RSP sale is donated to Darkness to Light, a non-profit devoted to preventing and addressing sexual abuse through community training in schools, religious groups, and a variety of civic groups across the U.S.

Download the 2014 RSP and RSP Post-Draft here

In Case You Missed It/Coming Soon

Reads/Views (Football)

  • Steven Jackson and Running Back Records – Chase Stuart doing this thing at Football Perspective.
  • After Its Exit, U.S. Identifies Opportunities for Its Future I like Jurgen Klinsmann as our team’s coach. I also enjoy the irony of it taking a German to show the U.S. how to play to its country’s identity.
  • Top 100 NFL Players – One of my NFL contacts pointed me to this article for the commentary about Patrick Peterson and Richard Sherman. He has been telling me for months that several prominent writers have completely misdiagnosed the schemes that Sherman is playing in and cherry-picking photo/.gifs that make it look like their points are supported when in fact they are off base. He sent me here because of the commentary about Seattle’s coverage scheme as accurately described by the anonymous pro personnel guy in Pete Prisco/Pat Kirwan’s joint effort.
  • Cowboys Players Hilariously Read Mean Tweets About Themselves – Yes, it’s a worthless football piece information-wise, but clever and worth a watch.

Listens

You may have no idea who Lester Young is, but he is one of the most influential musicians you’ve never heard of and a great blues player.

 Reads (Life In General)

Listens

As you might have discerned, I listen to a lot of tunes when I’m doing projections. Here’s another tune from Thelonius Monk that I love as performed by an unlikely duo.

 

Categories: Reads Listens ViewsTags: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

6 comments

  1. “If there was a “Jazz Draft,” to build the best sextet, landing Herbie Hancock, Ron Carter, Tony Williams, Joe Henderson, Freddie Hubbard, and Bobby Hutcherson would require at least six picks in the first two rounds.”

    i think youre reaching on bobby hutcherson…even if there were 32 teams in the draft.

    the question is…do you go with miles as the best pro-style QB who’s a bit of a diva or do you go with the safe-pick in john coltrane at number one? what’s this? the jets traded up to get kenny g?

    • Hutcherson is vastly underrated 😉 Now if the Jets traded up for Kenny Garrett (that Kenny G), I’d truck with that.

      • hutcherson’s vastly underrated, but he’d be availble in later rounds as teams snatch up players from blue(note)-chip programs.

        the eagles are sitting pretty with local hero stanley clarke on the board…the eagles’ selection is in…”with the 10th selection, the philadelphia eagles select…WYNTON MARSALIS.”

        BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

        all i know is the browns are going to take joe lovano wayyyy too high because browns fans love a guy that’s also a browns fan, talent be damned.

      • Don’t knock Lovano, but I’ll gladly take Steve Grossman or Rick Margitza a little later. Plus you can never have enough tenor players on a gig.

      • im not sure whether to be entertained or disturbed by how far my brain’s taking this jazz-greats NFL draft parody. i blame you entirely.

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